Palmas FR vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmas FR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 1
PAL
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 3
PAL
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 1
ARA
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 2
GUR
50%
25%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
INT
1 - 1
PAL
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
TOC
2 - 1
TOC
54%
23%
24%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
INT
5 - 3
TOC
57%
22%
22%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TOC
2 - 1
GUR
36%
27%
37%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
TOC
1 - 4
ARA
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 1
TOC
30%
24%
47%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |