La Palma vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Palma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
CCF
3 - 0
LAP
54%
25%
21%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
LAP
1 - 1
BAR
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ALG
2 - 1
LAP
72%
19%
9%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
LAP
2 - 2
MON
55%
25%
20%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
UDT
0 - 0
LAP
51%
25%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
BAR
2 - 0
LUC
30%
27%
43%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
LUC
1 - 1
MON
55%
28%
18%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
CRD
0 - 1
LUC
39%
27%
35%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
LUC
2 - 1
CAC
68%
22%
11%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
SAN
0 - 1
LUC
44%
27%
29%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |