La Palma vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Palma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
CDR
2 - 0
LAP
46%
25%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
LAP
1 - 1
ARC
46%
26%
28%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
DHE
4 - 2
LAP
72%
17%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
LAP
0 - 0
AYA
51%
25%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
CCF
0 - 0
LAP
58%
23%
19%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
LUC
1 - 0
SRQ
65%
22%
13%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
SAN
1 - 1
LUC
34%
29%
37%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
LUC
9 - 0
SCF
78%
16%
6%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
LUC
0 - 0
POR
33%
29%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
CDR
1 - 0
LUC
27%
28%
46%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |