La Palma vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Palma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
RAM
1 - 4
LAP
24%
25%
51%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
LAP
3 - 0
UTR
51%
26%
24%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
RAY
0 - 2
LAP
16%
23%
60%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
LAP
1 - 0
CCF
45%
27%
28%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
CAD
1 - 1
LAP
39%
27%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
LUC
0 - 0
CAD
61%
24%
15%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
SFE
2 - 0
LUC
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
LUC
0 - 0
ALG
30%
28%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
SRQ
0 - 0
LUC
48%
26%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
PAL
0 - 1
LUC
34%
26%
39%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |