Palillo vs Balconada UE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
41.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
PAL
80%
12%
8%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 0
MSF
19%
19%
63%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LLO
2 - 0
PAL
82%
11%
7%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PIP
9 - 1
PAL
81%
12%
7%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 3
CAS
25%
20%
55%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Balconada UE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FRU
4 - 1
BAL
25%
20%
55%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
BAL
5 - 2
CAL
62%
19%
19%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
OLO
2 - 6
BAL
40%
21%
40%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BAL
4 - 2
JOA
37%
22%
42%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
5 - 1
BAL
67%
17%
15%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | -1 |