Palestino vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ANT
0 - 1
PAL
35%
29%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 4
BAR
75%
16%
8%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
4 - 2
USF
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 3
COL
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 3
PAL
16%
22%
62%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
0 - 1
IQU
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
4 - 3
IBE
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
NUB
2 - 1
UCO
19%
20%
61%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 2
PUE
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SWA
3 - 1
UCO
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |