Palestino vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
PAL
4 - 2
USF
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
UCO
3 - 1
PAL
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
PAL
1 - 2
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
ACS
1 - 3
PAL
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
PAL
1 - 0
CSL
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
UCO
3 - 0
UCO
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
UNI
2 - 2
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 0
ACS
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 1
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
CSL
3 - 4
UCO
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |