Palencia vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
JBU
0 - 0
CFP
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
CFP
0 - 0
HUL
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
BÉJ
5 - 0
CFP
85%
10%
6%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
CFP
7 - 1
CDF
90%
7%
3%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
ACF
2 - 1
CFP
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
AST
1 - 3
VAL
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
CPC
6 - 2
AST
87%
8%
5%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
AST
1 - 2
CUL
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
PON
7 - 1
AST
80%
12%
8%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
JBU
2 - 1
AST
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |