Paksi SE II vs Gárdony analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
10º
8º
30
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
92% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
13º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
46% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paksi SE II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
PTE
0 - 2
PAK
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PAK
1 - 3
SZE
9%
18%
73%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ERD
2 - 0
PAK
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PAK
1 - 4
KAP
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
MHC
6 - 1
PAK
13%
16%
71%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | -3 |
Matches
Gárdony
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GVC
5 - 3
NAG
32%
21%
47%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCD
4 - 0
GVC
30%
22%
49%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MOL
3 - 3
GVC
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
GVC
4 - 0
PTE
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +4 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
SZE
3 - 2
GVC
77%
16%
8%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |