PFL Round 5

Pakhtakor vs Andijon analysis

Pakhtakor Andijon
65 ELO 66
5.9% Tilt -4.6%
2026º General ELO ranking 2093º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.9%
Pakhtakor
25.7%
Draw
28.4%
Andijon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
Pakhtakor
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.4%
Win probability
Andijon
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pakhtakor
+19%
-16%
Andijon

Points and table prediction

Pakhtakor
Their league position
Andijon
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
13º
17
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Nasaf Qarshi
33
40
52%
Neftchi
30
37
24.5%
Dinamo Samarqand
29
36
15%
Bunyodkor
27
34
24%
FC AGMK
27
34
21%
Pakhtakor
26
33
22.5%
Navbahor
26
33
24%
Surkhon Termez
18
26
29%
Andijon
17
24
24%
Qizilqum
10º
17
24
10º
19.5%
Sogdiana
11º
16
23
11º
19.5%
Mash' al
12º
15
22
12º
16.5%
Buxoro
14º
13
20
13º
15.5%
Kokand 1912
15º
12
19
14º
21.5%
Xorazm
13º
14
18
15º
35%
Shurtan
16º
9
16
16º
72%
Expected probabilities
Pakhtakor
Andijon
AFC Champions League Elite
1% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
3.5% 0%
Mid-table
95.5% 93.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 6.5%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Pakhtakor
Andijon
Nasaf Qarshi
Kokand 1912
FC AGMK
Mash' al
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pakhtakor
Pakhtakor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2025
PAK
Pakhtakor
2 - 1
FC AGMK
OLM
42%
24%
35%
65 66 1 0
06 Apr. 2025
SOG
Sogdiana
2 - 0
Pakhtakor
PAK
44%
26%
30%
66 66 0 -1
02 Apr. 2025
PAK
Pakhtakor
5 - 0
Mash' al
MAS
48%
26%
25%
66 66 0 0
29 Mar. 2025
PAK
Pakhtakor
0 - 1
Dinamo Samarqand
DSA
44%
25%
31%
66 66 0 0
16 Mar. 2025
OLM
FC AGMK
2 - 0
Pakhtakor
PAK
54%
23%
23%
66 66 0 0

Matches

Andijon
Andijon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2025
AND
Andijon
1 - 0
Mash' al
MAS
45%
27%
28%
66 66 0 0
28 Mar. 2025
NAV
Navbahor
2 - 2
Andijon
AND
40%
28%
32%
66 66 0 0
15 Mar. 2025
AND
Andijon
1 - 1
Nasaf Qarshi
NAS
47%
27%
26%
66 66 0 0
08 Mar. 2025
QOQ
Kokand 1912
1 - 1
Andijon
AND
39%
27%
34%
66 63 3 0
20 Feb. 2025
ZBR
Zbrojovka Brno
4 - 1
Andijon
AND
40%
24%
36%
68 65 3 -2