Paidha Black Angels vs Mbarara City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paidha Black Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PBA
1 - 3
EXP
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
NUF
1 - 0
PBA
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
PBA
0 - 0
SOA
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
BUL
3 - 0
PBA
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
PBA
2 - 1
UGA
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
MCF
2 - 1
SCV
38%
29%
33%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
KCC
0 - 0
MCF
77%
16%
6%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
NFC
2 - 1
MCF
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MCF
2 - 0
MFC
62%
22%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MCF
3 - 1
EXP
49%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |