Paide vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
7º
3º
23
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TAM
1 - 2
PAI
18%
26%
56%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
TAL
2 - 1
PAI
24%
27%
50%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PAI
3 - 0
PAR
80%
13%
6%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 0
PAI
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PAI
2 - 0
KAL
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HJP
1 - 0
KAL
21%
25%
55%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
HJP
0 - 1
LEV
12%
22%
66%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 3
HJP
50%
25%
24%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TAL
2 - 1
HJP
61%
21%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
TAO
0 - 8
HJP
6%
12%
82%
|
51 | 11 | 40 | 0 |