Esiliiga Normal Season Round 5

Paide II vs Alliance FC analysis

Paide II Alliance FC
57 ELO 48
41% Tilt 25.2%
5320º General ELO ranking 27314º
30º Country ELO ranking 128º
ELO win probability
74.6%
Paide II
15%
Draw
10.4%
Alliance FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
Paide II
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.4%
Win probability
Alliance FC
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Paide II
Alliance FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paide II
Paide II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 2022
VJK
Viimsi JK
4 - 3
Paide II
PAI
37%
24%
39%
57 56 1 0
14 Mar. 2022
PAI
Paide II
3 - 0
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
76%
14%
10%
57 46 11 0
07 Mar. 2022
TUL
Tulevik Viljandi
0 - 5
Paide II
PAI
47%
23%
31%
55 55 0 +2
03 Mar. 2022
PAI
Paide II
1 - 5
Harju JK Laagri
HJP
65%
19%
17%
57 52 5 -2
20 Nov. 2021
PAI
Paide II
6 - 5
Nõmme United
NOM
58%
19%
23%
56 51 5 +1

Matches

Alliance FC
Alliance FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 2022
JKJ
Alliance FC
1 - 0
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
FCP
58%
21%
21%
48 44 4 0
13 Mar. 2022
JKJ
Alliance FC
0 - 2
FC Elva
FCE
44%
24%
32%
49 51 2 -1
10 Mar. 2022
JKJ
Alliance FC
2 - 2
Nõmme United
NOM
30%
21%
48%
49 51 2 0
30 Jan. 2022
WEL
Tartu Welco
1 - 0
Alliance FC
JKJ
32%
24%
45%
49 42 7 0
23 Jan. 2022
JKJ
Alliance FC
2 - 2
Harju JK Laagri
HJP
33%
21%
46%
49 52 3 0