Paide II vs Joker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2017 |
NOM
1 - 1
PAI
54%
21%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VAN
3 - 0
PAI
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
PAI
3 - 1
VAN
65%
19%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
PAI
1 - 1
NOM
45%
23%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
JOK
1 - 0
PAI
50%
21%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Joker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
JOK
1 - 2
JKJ
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
JOK
4 - 1
KEI
41%
23%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
KEI
5 - 2
JOK
48%
23%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
JKJ
1 - 0
JOK
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
JOK
1 - 0
PAI
50%
21%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |