Paide II vs FC Tallinn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
43.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
10º
10º
26
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 75 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 67 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 63 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 61 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 60 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 55 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 35 |
7º
|
46% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 28 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 28 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 26 |
10º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
11% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
66% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 0
PAI
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FCE
2 - 2
PAI
43%
23%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 6
WEL
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TAB
0 - 1
PAI
63%
18%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 1
TKA
38%
23%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Tallinn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCT
2 - 4
FLO
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FCT
4 - 0
TAB
51%
22%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
VJK
2 - 2
FCT
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 0
FCT
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 1
HJP
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |