Sri Pahang vs Penang FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
11º
7º
26
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 37 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 37 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
76.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
11º
|
76.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 7 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Pahang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
PER
0 - 1
PAH
30%
25%
46%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
PAH
6 - 0
KED
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
PDR
1 - 3
PAH
28%
25%
48%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
PAH
0 - 2
KFA
54%
23%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
PAH
1 - 5
TER
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Penang FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
PUL
1 - 0
KUL
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
NEG
0 - 2
PUL
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
PUL
0 - 3
JOH
21%
22%
57%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
PUL
1 - 1
KFA
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
MPK
1 - 6
PUL
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |