Pagham vs Little Common analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
24.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
STO
3 - 0
PAG
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
PAG
2 - 1
FLE
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
PAG
0 - 2
TUN
29%
21%
49%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
TUN
1 - 1
PAG
56%
21%
24%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
PAG
0 - 2
WHI
11%
15%
74%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Little Common
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
LCO
0 - 3
COR
21%
20%
59%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
STF
2 - 3
LCO
55%
20%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
AUC
0 - 1
LCO
47%
22%
32%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
LCO
0 - 1
HEN
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
LCO
2 - 1
THR
26%
21%
53%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |