Pagham vs Varndeanians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
40.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
PAG
0 - 4
EAS
25%
24%
52%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
PAG
0 - 1
CRA
11%
17%
72%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
PAG
1 - 0
BMR
10%
16%
74%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +3 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BLA
5 - 2
PAG
43%
22%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
ALR
1 - 2
PAG
8%
14%
79%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Varndeanians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
KNA
3 - 0
VAR
43%
23%
35%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 2
VAR
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
AUC
3 - 1
VAR
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 2
BRO
16%
19%
66%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LOX
3 - 2
VAR
29%
22%
50%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |