Pagham vs Uckfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 2
PAG
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
PAG
0 - 3
HAY
22%
22%
57%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LOX
2 - 2
PAG
41%
21%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
HOR
3 - 0
PAG
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
PAG
1 - 2
HAS
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Uckfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SAL
4 - 1
AUC
62%
19%
19%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
AUC
1 - 2
BEX
13%
18%
70%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
AUC
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
CRA
4 - 2
AUC
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
AUC
0 - 1
LCO
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |