Paganese vs Trapani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
64.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
PAG
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
PAG
1 - 3
JUS
21%
26%
52%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
BIS
0 - 1
PAG
34%
27%
38%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
PAG
0 - 1
PAL
12%
25%
63%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
AVE
2 - 0
PAG
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
BRE
3 - 0
TRA
59%
20%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
TRA
2 - 0
CRO
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
PRG
1 - 2
TRA
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
TRA
1 - 0
PES
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
PIS
3 - 2
TRA
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |