Paganese vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
67%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FCV
2 - 1
PAG
74%
18%
8%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
NOC
1 - 0
PAG
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 3
PAG
44%
26%
31%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PAG
2 - 1
FAN
59%
24%
18%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
RAA
1 - 0
PAG
29%
28%
44%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SOR
0 - 0
ASG
69%
20%
12%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SPE
4 - 1
SOR
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SOR
2 - 0
TRE
77%
15%
7%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PIS
2 - 2
SOR
33%
27%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SOR
2 - 1
LEO
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |