Paganese vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
APR
3 - 0
PAG
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
PAG
0 - 2
VIG
56%
25%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PAG
1 - 0
FON
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
USV
1 - 1
PAG
14%
25%
61%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PAG
0 - 0
PRG
36%
29%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
LAQ
44%
26%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LAQ
0 - 0
ACI
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
FON
2 - 0
LAQ
30%
26%
44%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAQ
2 - 2
ARZ
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
USV
0 - 1
LAQ
24%
26%
50%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |