Paganese vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
45.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SIR
2 - 3
PAG
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
PAG
0 - 1
MON
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
REN
1 - 0
PAG
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
PAG
2 - 2
FRA
34%
29%
37%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
FIA
0 - 0
PAG
50%
26%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CAT
4 - 1
BIS
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
REG
2 - 1
CAT
33%
29%
39%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CAT
1 - 2
SIC
70%
19%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SIR
0 - 1
CAT
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
CAT
1 - 0
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |