Paganese vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
59.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+110%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAV
4 - 0
PAG
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
PAG
0 - 0
REG
20%
24%
56%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SIC
1 - 1
PAG
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PAG
0 - 0
BIS
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CAT
2 - 1
PAG
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 4
VIT
36%
29%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 0
CAS
67%
20%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 0
JUS
24%
28%
48%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
USV
1 - 1
CAS
29%
29%
42%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 0
MAT
72%
19%
10%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |