Carioca 2 Group Stages Round 4

Paduano vs Serrano FC analysis

Paduano Serrano FC
44 ELO 41
-12.8% Tilt -6.1%
6652º General ELO ranking 6996º
263º Country ELO ranking 284º
ELO win probability
47.1%
Paduano
24.3%
Draw
28.6%
Serrano FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
Paduano
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.6%
Win probability
Serrano FC
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paduano
-12%
-33%
Serrano FC

ELO progression

Paduano
Serrano FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paduano
Paduano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2022
PAD
Paduano
0 - 0
Campo Grande
CGA
44%
23%
33%
44 40 4 0
01 Oct. 2022
SER
Serra Macaense
0 - 4
Paduano
PAD
42%
24%
33%
42 44 2 +2
28 Sep. 2022
PAD
Paduano
2 - 0
Angra dos Reis
ANG
58%
21%
21%
42 30 12 0
24 Sep. 2022
DUQ
Duque de Caxias
2 - 1
Paduano
PAD
34%
24%
42%
43 40 3 -1
22 Sep. 2022
VOL
Volta Redonda
1 - 1
Paduano
PAD
83%
11%
6%
42 62 20 +1

Matches

Serrano FC
Serrano FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2022
SFC
Serrano FC
3 - 0
Angra dos Reis
ANG
53%
23%
23%
41 28 13 0
01 Oct. 2022
DUQ
Duque de Caxias
1 - 1
Serrano FC
SFC
44%
25%
32%
40 41 1 +1
28 Sep. 2022
NCI
Nova Cidade
2 - 3
Serrano FC
SFC
27%
23%
50%
40 31 9 0
24 Sep. 2022
SFC
Serrano FC
0 - 1
CEAC / Araruama
ADC
41%
24%
34%
41 35 6 -1
17 Sep. 2022
SFC
Serrano FC
1 - 0
São Gonçalo RJ
SAO
40%
25%
36%
40 37 3 +1