Padova Sub 19 vs SPAL Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
50%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
11º
10º
40
4º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
PAD
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 0
ABL
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CIT
1 - 3
PAD
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CRE
5 - 1
PAD
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 2
UDI
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SPA
4 - 1
BRE
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 2
SPA
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 4
CRE
25%
24%
51%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ATA
5 - 0
SPA
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
REN
1 - 0
SPA
8%
15%
77%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | -2 |