Padova Sub 19 vs Parma Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
55.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
10º
16º
14º
61
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
95% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
74% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
97% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PUB
1 - 0
PAD
18%
20%
63%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PAD
1 - 4
ASS
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VEN
1 - 0
PAD
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
PUB
4 - 4
PAD
18%
19%
63%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
REG
2 - 4
PAD
11%
16%
73%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Parma Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 0
ABL
66%
18%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CRE
0 - 1
PAR
47%
22%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
GEN
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
FRO
2 - 1
PAR
45%
23%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 2
ASS
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |