Iran Second Division Round 5

Padideh Khorasan vs Darya Caspian analysis

Padideh Khorasan Darya Caspian
65 ELO 51
-20.2% Tilt -12.9%
25680º General ELO ranking 5643º
88º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
54.8%
Padideh Khorasan
26.6%
Draw
18.6%
Darya Caspian

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
Padideh Khorasan
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
18.6%
Win probability
Darya Caspian
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Padideh Khorasan
Their league position
Darya Caspian
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
17º
18º
18º
38
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Shams Azar Qazvin
70
70
100%
Esteghlal Khuzestan
57
60
99.5%
Saipa
55
58
79%
53
56
73%
Kheybar
52
55
91.5%
Mes Shahr Babak
45
48
79.5%
Van Pars Naghshe Jahan
45
48
79.5%
Chadormalu
45
45
100%
Pars Jonubi
40
43
98.5%
Darya Caspian
10º
38
41
10º
82.5%
Esteqlal Abi Push
11º
37
40
11º
83.5%
Khooshe Talaee
12º
35
38
12º
95%
Bandar Astara
13º
33
36
13º
13.5%
Arman Gohar
14º
33
36
14º
10%
Khalij Fars FC
15º
29
32
15º
88%
Shahrdari Hamedan
16º
28
31
16º
88%
Chooka Talesh
17º
22
25
17º
100%
Padideh Khorasan
18º
0
2
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Padideh Khorasan
Darya Caspian
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Padideh Khorasan
Darya Caspian
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Padideh Khorasan
Padideh Khorasan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2022
PAD
Padideh Khorasan
0 - 0
Foolad Khuzestan
FOO
29%
32%
40%
65 74 9 0
29 May. 2022
PER
Persepolis Tehran
2 - 1
Padideh Khorasan
PAD
56%
26%
18%
65 72 7 0
19 May. 2022
SEP
Sepahan Esfahan
3 - 0
Padideh Khorasan
PAD
54%
27%
20%
66 73 7 -1
14 May. 2022
PAD
Padideh Khorasan
1 - 1
Paykan
PAY
28%
29%
43%
66 72 6 0
09 May. 2022
EST
Esteghlal Tehran
1 - 0
Padideh Khorasan
PAD
50%
28%
22%
66 73 7 0

Matches

Darya Caspian
Darya Caspian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2022
DBF
Darya Caspian
0 - 1
Esteghlal Khuzestan
EKU
47%
26%
27%
51 52 1 0
07 Sep. 2022
VPN
Van Pars Naghshe Jahan
1 - 0
Darya Caspian
DBF
45%
26%
29%
52 52 0 -1
02 Sep. 2022
DBF
Darya Caspian
1 - 2
Shams Azar Qazvin
SAQ
42%
27%
32%
53 56 3 -1
28 Aug. 2022
SAI
Saipa
2 - 0
Darya Caspian
DBF
45%
27%
28%
54 58 4 -1