Paderno Dugnano vs Crespi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderno Dugnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CIT
3 - 1
PAD
62%
19%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PAD
0 - 3
CAR
43%
23%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
COB
1 - 1
PAD
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PAD
1 - 1
CRI
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
REA
2 - 4
PAD
10%
17%
73%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Crespi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CRE
1 - 2
VIL
16%
20%
64%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SAL
4 - 3
CRE
37%
23%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CRE
2 - 2
MUG
10%
17%
74%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CIN
2 - 1
CRE
85%
11%
5%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SPE
6 - 0
CRE
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | -1 |