Padernense vs Carvoeiro United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padernense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PAD
1 - 0
MON
73%
16%
11%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ODI
0 - 2
PAD
30%
23%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
PAD
1 - 4
MON
15%
19%
65%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ARM
1 - 1
PAD
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
PAD
2 - 2
LAG
18%
21%
62%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Carvoeiro United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 2
ODI
45%
23%
32%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MON
4 - 1
CAR
88%
9%
3%
|
6 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 3
ARM
9%
17%
74%
|
6 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LAG
4 - 0
CAR
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
ESP
28%
23%
50%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |