Paderborn vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
ING
1 - 2
PAD
32%
26%
43%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
PAD
1 - 2
F95
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FSV
1 - 3
PAD
34%
26%
41%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
PAD
3 - 0
STP
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
FCU
1 - 1
PAD
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SGF
2 - 1
ERZ
63%
21%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
ING
0 - 0
SGF
29%
26%
46%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
STP
2 - 2
SGF
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
SGF
4 - 1
F95
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
SGD
1 - 1
SGF
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |