Paderborn vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
KSC
1 - 0
PAD
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
PAD
2 - 0
STP
61%
20%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
DAR
0 - 4
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
PAD
3 - 1
SSV
50%
22%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SVS
1 - 1
PAD
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
FCN
2 - 3
SGF
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
OSN
1 - 4
FCN
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FCN
1 - 1
F95
24%
23%
54%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
EBT
3 - 2
FCN
37%
24%
39%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
FCN
1 - 1
KSC
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |