Paderborn vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
47.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 0
PAD
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
PAD
1 - 2
SCF
22%
25%
54%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
HEI
1 - 1
PAD
49%
25%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
FSV
0 - 2
PAD
41%
26%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 4
FCU
36%
26%
37%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
FCN
1 - 0
STP
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
EBT
3 - 1
FCN
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FCN
6 - 2
FCU
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
KSC
2 - 1
FCN
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FCN
1 - 2
MSV
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |