Paços de Ferreira vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 1
PAÇ
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PAÇ
3 - 1
ARO
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 2
PAÇ
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
GFC
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
PAÇ
3 - 1
MAR
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 0
VIT
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 3
SCP
22%
24%
54%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 0
FCP
36%
26%
38%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
VST
2 - 2
SCP
21%
24%
55%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SCP
2 - 1
SPB
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |