Paços de Ferreira vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
EST
1 - 0
PAÇ
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
PAÇ
1 - 3
SCP
22%
24%
54%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 1
PAÇ
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PAÇ
3 - 1
ARO
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 2
PAÇ
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VST
3 - 0
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
FCP
24%
25%
52%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
OLH
1 - 1
NAC
19%
25%
56%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 4
SLB
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |