Paços de Ferreira vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 3
PAÇ
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
EST
0 - 2
PAÇ
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
VIT
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 0
PAÇ
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
PAÇ
4 - 0
LEX
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ACA
0 - 3
FCP
17%
23%
60%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SLB
0 - 1
ACA
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 0
BEL
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 1
ACA
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 0
TRO
54%
27%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |