League MX Sub 19 - Clausura Playoff Semi-finals

Global 4-5

Pachuca U19 vs Toluca U19 analysis

Pachuca U19 Toluca U19
50 ELO 49
5.4% Tilt 3.9%
5279º General ELO ranking 4938º
86º Country ELO ranking 79º
ELO win probability
45.7%
Pachuca U19
24.6%
Draw
29.7%
Toluca U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
Pachuca U19
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.7%
Win probability
Toluca U19
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pachuca U19
+7%
+7%
Toluca U19

ELO progression

Pachuca U19
Toluca U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pachuca U19
Pachuca U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2025
PAC
Pachuca U19
2 - 3
Chivas Guadalajara U19
GUA
55%
23%
22%
49 48 1 0
24 Apr. 2025
GUA
Chivas Guadalajara U19
0 - 1
Pachuca U19
PAC
43%
25%
32%
48 49 1 +1
20 Apr. 2025
ATL
Atl. San Luis U19
2 - 3
Pachuca U19
PAC
25%
24%
51%
48 40 8 0
10 Apr. 2025
NEX
Necaxa U19
2 - 5
Pachuca U19
PAC
37%
25%
39%
47 42 5 +1
05 Apr. 2025
PAC
Pachuca U19
4 - 1
América U19
AME
50%
23%
26%
46 44 2 +1

Matches

Toluca U19
Toluca U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2025
TOL
Toluca U19
3 - 1
Atlas FC U19
ATL
58%
23%
19%
50 44 6 0
24 Apr. 2025
ATL
Atlas FC U19
2 - 2
Toluca U19
TOL
37%
25%
37%
50 44 6 0
19 Apr. 2025
TOL
Toluca U19
2 - 1
Cruz Azul U19
CRZ
62%
22%
16%
50 42 8 0
16 Apr. 2025
ATL
Atl. San Luis U19
0 - 1
Toluca U19
TOL
28%
26%
46%
49 41 8 +1
12 Apr. 2025
ATL
Atlas FC U19
2 - 2
Toluca U19
TOL
36%
26%
39%
50 43 7 -1