Cearense 1 Relegation Round Round 3

Pacajus vs Caucaia EC analysis

Pacajus Caucaia EC
43 ELO 45
-10.8% Tilt -24.7%
39898º General ELO ranking 6323º
1201º Country ELO ranking 245º
ELO win probability
32.4%
Pacajus
23.1%
Draw
44.4%
Caucaia EC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
Pacajus
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
44.4%
Win probability
Caucaia EC
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pacajus
-12%
-21%
Caucaia EC

ELO progression

Pacajus
Caucaia EC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pacajus
Pacajus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2023
PAC
Pacajus
1 - 2
Barbalha
BAR
55%
22%
23%
44 37 7 0
12 Feb. 2023
GUA
Guarani de Juazeiro
0 - 1
Pacajus
PAC
35%
24%
41%
43 35 8 +1
08 Feb. 2023
CAU
Caucaia EC
2 - 0
Pacajus
PAC
45%
24%
31%
44 42 2 -1
04 Feb. 2023
PAC
Pacajus
4 - 2
Barbalha
BAR
53%
23%
24%
44 38 6 0
28 Jan. 2023
PAC
Pacajus
1 - 2
Iguatu
IGU
46%
24%
30%
45 42 3 -1

Matches

Caucaia EC
Caucaia EC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2023
CAU
Caucaia EC
0 - 0
Tombense
TOM
16%
20%
64%
45 63 18 0
16 Feb. 2023
CAU
Caucaia EC
1 - 0
Guarani de Juazeiro
GUA
67%
18%
14%
44 34 10 +1
11 Feb. 2023
BAR
Barbalha
1 - 2
Caucaia EC
CAU
28%
22%
50%
44 38 6 0
08 Feb. 2023
CAU
Caucaia EC
2 - 0
Pacajus
PAC
45%
24%
31%
42 44 2 +2
02 Feb. 2023
CAU
Caucaia EC
5 - 0
Guarani de Juazeiro
GUA
52%
22%
26%
41 37 4 +1