Ozd-Sajovolgye vs FC Hatvan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
55.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+566%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
5º
16º
16º
1
5º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
5 | 64 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 59 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 56 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 54 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 44 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 41 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 41 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 39 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 38 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 37 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 34 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 33 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 29 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
1 | 24 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 21 |
16º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation
|
79% | 64.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ozd-Sajovolgye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
GOD
4 - 1
OZD
58%
20%
22%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
KMG
6 - 1
OZD
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
OZD
5 - 1
NYI
10%
15%
75%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | +6 |
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
FUZ
0 - 0
OZD
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
VSC
1 - 4
OZD
35%
22%
44%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Hatvan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
FCH
0 - 4
TIS
19%
21%
60%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
FCH
1 - 3
DEA
11%
20%
69%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
GOD
2 - 0
FCH
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
FCH
1 - 5
CIG
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
VSE
0 - 5
FCH
21%
20%
59%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +2 |