Oxford United vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
STA
1 - 3
OXF
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
YOR
1 - 2
OXF
29%
29%
42%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
OXF
0 - 0
MOR
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
OXF
1 - 1
OPA
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 0
OXF
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BPO
1 - 0
SWI
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
DON
2 - 2
SWI
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SWI
1 - 2
COL
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SWI
0 - 1
BUR
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 1
SWI
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |