Oxford United vs Salisbury City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
HAY
2 - 1
OXF
34%
27%
40%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
STE
1 - 0
OXF
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
OXF
2 - 1
GAT
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
RUS
1 - 1
OXF
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
TAM
0 - 0
OXF
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
SAL
3 - 1
EBB
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
LUT
4 - 0
SAL
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
KID
0 - 1
SAL
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
SAL
1 - 3
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAL
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |