Oxford United vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
OXF
3 - 0
AFC
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
OXF
2 - 3
WIG
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MKD
1 - 2
OXF
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
DON
1 - 2
OXF
16%
22%
62%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SUN
1 - 1
OXF
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 2
PLY
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
STF
3 - 1
CHE
34%
28%
39%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 2
LIN
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 5
CAM
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
AFC
4 - 3
CHE
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |