Oxford City vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
OXF
0 - 4
BHA
12%
20%
68%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
OXF
0 - 1
SUT
26%
27%
48%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
DAR
2 - 2
OXF
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HEM
3 - 1
OXF
51%
23%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
WHI
2 - 0
OXF
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
WEL
1 - 4
CHA
15%
23%
63%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
WEL
0 - 3
BOR
29%
27%
45%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ALT
5 - 0
WEL
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
4 - 0
WEL
56%
23%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
WEL
1 - 2
KID
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |