Oxford City vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
46.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DRO
1 - 3
OXF
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
COL
3 - 1
OXF
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
OXF
2 - 2
HAL
26%
25%
49%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
OXF
0 - 0
TOW
35%
26%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
OXF
1 - 1
BRA
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
GAI
2 - 1
VAU
60%
22%
19%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
GLO
1 - 2
GAI
25%
25%
51%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
GAI
18%
22%
61%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
GAI
1 - 0
HIS
62%
21%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GAI
1 - 2
OXF
63%
21%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |