Overpelt vs Herk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Overpelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
AVE
3 - 6
OVE
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
OVE
0 - 1
SIN
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
OOS
2 - 0
OVE
54%
24%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
OVE
0 - 4
LIL
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
OVE
1 - 0
HEU
63%
21%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Herk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
LEO
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
DEK
0 - 0
HER
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
WAN
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
HER
3 - 0
DEK
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ZWA
2 - 1
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |