Overpelt vs Herk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Overpelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SIN
4 - 1
OVE
68%
19%
14%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
OVE
0 - 0
TON
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
OVE
2 - 0
PAT
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
SIN
7 - 1
OVE
69%
19%
13%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
OVE
1 - 0
LAC
53%
23%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Herk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
HER
3 - 3
PAT
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
LUT
0 - 2
HER
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |