Overpelt vs Bree analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Overpelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
EXV
1 - 0
OVE
44%
23%
33%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
OVE
0 - 2
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SIN
4 - 1
OVE
68%
19%
14%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
OVE
0 - 0
TON
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
OVE
2 - 0
PAT
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
BRE
0 - 3
PAT
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LUT
2 - 1
BRE
23%
23%
55%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
BRE
3 - 0
ZWA
50%
23%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
DEK
1 - 1
BRE
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
BRE
5 - 0
SPA
73%
16%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |