Outes vs Flavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
57.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Outes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CLU
5 - 0
OUT
59%
19%
22%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
OUT
3 - 1
TOR
47%
22%
31%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LAL
2 - 1
OUT
58%
21%
21%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
OUT
1 - 0
COR
47%
21%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 1
OUT
53%
21%
26%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Flavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FLA
3 - 1
ZAS
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 1
FLA
19%
20%
62%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SIL
0 - 1
FLA
19%
20%
61%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
CLU
58%
22%
19%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TOR
0 - 2
FLA
19%
20%
62%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |