Outes vs CF Dumbría analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
71.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+98%
+127%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Outes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SIG
2 - 2
OUT
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
OUT
2 - 3
PIL
27%
22%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
OUT
2 - 0
VIL
52%
21%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SIL
1 - 2
OUT
69%
17%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ZAS
3 - 1
OUT
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
CF Dumbría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
DUM
3 - 1
ZAS
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 2
DUM
21%
22%
57%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 2
DUM
25%
25%
50%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
DUM
4 - 3
CLU
65%
20%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 1
DUM
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |