Outes vs Castrelo CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Outes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 3
OUT
30%
23%
46%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
OUT
2 - 2
COR
29%
23%
48%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
NAN
0 - 1
OUT
32%
24%
45%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
OUT
7 - 1
BAL
54%
20%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
XCA
3 - 2
OUT
78%
13%
10%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Castrelo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 4
CAS
17%
20%
63%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 1
CAS
47%
23%
31%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 2
COR
18%
22%
61%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
NAN
2 - 2
CAS
47%
24%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 0
BAL
47%
21%
32%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |